Macroeconomic Forecasts

The Hong Kong Macroeconomic Forecast is based on research conducted by the APEC Studies Program of the Hong Kong Institute of Economics and Business Strategy. It aims to provide the community with timely information useful for tracking the short-term fluctuations of the economy. The current quarter marco forecasts have been released on a quarterly basis since 1999.

The high frequency forecasting system was originally developed in collaboration with Professor Lawrence Klein of the University of Pennsylvania in 1999-2000. Since then, the system has been maintained and further refined by HKU. The project is sponsored by HKU Business School. Researchers of the APEC Studies Program are solely responsible for the accuracy and interpretation of the forecasts.  

Press Release

Latest 最新

2021 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 7, 2021

2021 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 2, 2021

2021 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 7, 2021

2021 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 7, 2021

Press Release

2020 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 7, 2020

2020 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 2, 2020

2020 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 7, 2020

Latest 最新

2020 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 6, 2020

Press Release

2019 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 3, 2019

2019 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 9, 2019

2019 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 3, 2019

2019 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 8, 2019

Press Release

2018 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 10, 2018

2018 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 11, 2018

2018 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 12, 2018

2018 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 4, 2018

Press Release

2017 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 4, 2017

2017 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 11, 2017

2017 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 6, 2017

2017 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 10, 2017

Press Release

2016 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 5, 2016

2016 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 6, 2016

2016 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 7, 2016

2016 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 5, 2016

Press Release

2015 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 6, 2015

2015 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 9, 2015

2015 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 7, 2019

2015 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 6, 2015

Press Release

2014 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 9, 2014

2014 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 9, 2014

2014 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 3, 2014

2014 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 8, 2014

Presentation Slides

2014 Q1 Forecasts

2014 Q2 Forecasts

2014 Q3 Forecasts

2014 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2013 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 3, 2013

2013 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 9, 2013

2013 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 4, 2013

2013 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 8, 2013

Presentation Slides

2013 Q1 Forecasts

2013 Q2 Forecasts

2013 Q3 Forecasts

2013 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2012 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 4, 2012

2012 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 2, 2012

2012 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 11, 2012

2012 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 11, 2012

Presentation Slides

2012 Q1 Forecasts

2012 Q2 Forecasts

2012 Q3 Forecasts

2012 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2011 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 5, 2011

2011 Q2 Forecasts

Released on March 30, 2011

2011 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 5, 2011

2011 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 12, 2011

Presentation Slides

2011 Q1 Forecasts

2011 Q2 Forecasts

2011 Q3 Forecasts

2011 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2010 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 11, 2010

2010 Q2 Forecasts

Released on March 31, 2010

2010 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 7, 2010

2010 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 6, 2010

Presentation Slides

2010 Q1 Forecasts

2010 Q2 Forecasts

2010 Q3 Forecasts

2010 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2009 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 7, 2009

2009 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 2, 2009

2009 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 8, 2009

2009 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 7, 2009

Presentation Slides

2009 Q1 Forecasts

2009 Q2 Forecasts

2009 Q3 Forecasts

2009 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2008 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 3, 2008

2008 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 2, 2008

2008 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 3, 2008

2008 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 8, 2008

Presentation Slides

2008 Q1 Forecasts

2008 Q2 Forecasts

2008 Q3 Forecasts

2008 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2007 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 10, 2007

2007 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 11, 2007

2007 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 4, 2007

2007 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 3, 2007

Presentation Slides

2007 Q1 Forecasts

2007 Q2 Forecasts

2007 Q3 Forecasts

2007 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2006 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 4, 2006

2006 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 6, 2006

2006 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 6, 2006

2006 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 10, 2006

Presentation Slides

2006 Q1 Forecasts

2006 Q2 Forecasts

2006 Q3 Forecasts

2006 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2005 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 11, 2005

2005 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 7, 2005

2005 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 7, 2005

2005 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 5, 2005

Presentation Slides

2005 Q1 Forecasts

2005 Q2 Forecasts

2005 Q3 Forecasts

2005 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2004 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 6, 2004

2004 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 7, 2004

2004 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 8, 2004

2004 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 6, 2004

Presentation Slides

2004 Q1 Forecasts

2004 Q2 Forecasts

2004 Q3 Forecasts

2004 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2003 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 13, 2003

2003 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 10, 2003

2003 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 7, 2003

2003 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 13, 2003

Presentation Slides

2003 Q1 Forecasts

2003 Q2 Forecasts

2003 Q3 Forecasts

2003 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2002 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 2, 2002

2002 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 2, 2002

2002 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 3, 2002

2002 Q4 Forecasts

Released on September 30, 2002

Presentation Slides

2002 Q1 Forecasts

2002 Q2 Forecasts

2002 Q3 Forecasts

2002 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2001 Q1 Forecasts

Released on January 3, 2001

2001 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 9, 2001

2001 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 3, 2001

2001 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 5, 2001

Presentation Slides

2001 Q1 Forecasts

2001 Q2 Forecasts

2001 Q3 Forecasts

2001 Q4 Forecasts

Press Release

2000 Q1 Forecasts

Released on December 22, 1999

2000 Q2 Forecasts

Released on April 3, 2000

2000 Q3 Forecasts

Released on July 3, 2000

2000 Q4 Forecasts

Released on October 9, 2000

Presentation Slides

2000 Q4 Forecasts